Feasibility Study (FS):
On February 17, 2021, NexGen released its independent Feasibility Study
(FS) of the Rook I Project. The FS was completed in accordance with NI
43-101 and includes joint work by leading consultants including: Stantec
Consulting Limited, Wood Canada Ltd., and Roscoe Postle Associates Inc.,
with other technical inputs completed by sub-consultants.
Summary of the Feasibility Study Highlights:
The FS considers the environmental and economic merits from the Arrow
Deposit and places the Project as one of the leading global resource
projects with an elite ESG profile.
The Arrow Deposit’s unique geological profile and location allows for key
optimizations development. The Project is designed as an underground
mining operation, with conventional long hole stope mining methods.
The economic base case was developed encompassing a fixed price of US
$50/lb
U3O8:
Table 1 – Outstanding Economics Summary of Arrow Deposit Feasibility
Study (based on US $50/lb U3O8)
| |
FS($CAD) |
| After-Tax NPV @ 8% |
$3.47 Billion |
| After-Tax Internal Rate of Return (IRR) |
52.4% |
| After-Tax Payback |
0.9 Year |
| Pre-Commitment Early Works Captial |
$157 Million |
| Project Execution Captial |
$1.143 Million |
| Total Initial Captial Costs ("CAPEX") |
$1,300 Million |
| Average Annual Production (Years 1-5) |
28.8M lbs U3O8
|
|
Average Annual After-Tax Net Cash Flow (Life of Mine)
|
763 Million |
| Nominal Mill Capacity |
1,300 tonnes per day |
| Average Annual Mill Feed Grade |
2.37% U3O8 |
| Mine Life |
10.7 Years |
|
Average Annual Operating Cost ("OPEX", Life of Mine)
|
$7.58
(US $5.69)/lb U3O8
|
-
The economic analysis was based on the timing of a final investment
decision (“FID”) and does not include the Pre-Commitment Early Works
Capital, which are costs NexGen intends on expending prior to the
FID. Pre-Commitment Early Works scope includes site
preparation, initial freeze hole drilling and the supporting
infrastructure (concrete batch plant, Phase I camp accommodations
and bulk fuel storage) required to support full Project Execution
Capital.
-
FS based on CAD $1.00 = US $0.75 and US $50/lb U3O8
price.
NPV and IRR Sensitivity to Uranium Price, table 2:
Uranium Price (US$/lb)
|
Feasibility Study (Q4-2020 Dollars)
|
Interim Trend Update (Q4-2023 Dollars)
|
Average Annual Free Cash Flow (Y1-5) (C$ Bn)
|
Payback Period (Years)
|
IRR (%)
|
NPV (C$ Billion)
|
Average Annual Free Cash Flow (Y1-5) (C$ Bn)
|
Payback Period (Years)
|
IRR (%)
|
NPV (C$ Billion)
|
| $100 |
2.11 |
0.6 |
81.6 |
8.13 |
2.04 |
1.0 |
46.9 |
6.79 |
| $90 |
1.90 |
0.6 |
76.8 |
7.20 |
1.82 |
1.1 |
43.4 |
5.84 |
| $80 |
1.68 |
0.7 |
71.5 |
6.27 |
1.61 |
1.2 |
39.6 |
4.89 |
| $70 |
1.47 |
0.7 |
65.8 |
5.33 |
1.39 |
1.3 |
35.4 |
3.96 |
| $60 |
1.25 |
0.8 |
59.5 |
4.40 |
1.18 |
1.6 |
30.7 |
3.04 |
| $50* |
1.04 |
0.9 |
52.4 |
3.47 |
0.97 |
2.0 |
25.2 |
2.10 |
| $40 |
0.82 |
1.1 |
44.0 |
2.53 |
0.76 |
2.6 |
18.9 |
1.19 |
| $30 |
0.61 |
1.3 |
33.8 |
1.59 |
0.55 |
3.8 |
10.5 |
0.23 |
-
Figures above are based on Probable Mineral Reserves of 239.6
million lbs U3O8, as outlined in the 2021 Feasibility Study.
Exchange rate assumptions are 0.75:1 (US$:C$). All economic
disclosure, including IRR and NPV sensitivities, is derived from the
2021 Feasibility Study. The Interim Trend Update (August 2024) is
disclosed as an internally prepared trend report for cost
sensitivities; it does not constitute material new scientific or
technical information, nor does it alter the base case of US$50/lb
U3O8 or provide an economic analysis beyond what is included in the
Feasibility Study. The Interim Trend Update is intended to
illustrate the impact of cost inflation and capital refinement as
the project advances toward construction readiness. As noted in the
Feasibility Study, IRR and NPV are most sensitive to uranium price,
grade, metal recovery, and exchange rates. Sensitivity analyses are
provided for illustrative purposes only; they may not be appropriate
for other uses and do not represent forecasts of uranium prices or
prices at which uranium produced from the Rook I Project can be
sold.
-
*2021 FS Base Case
Arrow Mineral Resource Estimate, Table 3:
|
FS Mineral Resource
|
| Structure |
Tonnage
(k tonnes)
|
Grade (U3O8%)
|
Contained Metal (U3O8 M lb)
|
| Measured |
| A2 LG |
920 |
0.79 |
16.0 |
| A2 HG |
441 |
16.65 |
161.9 |
| A3 LG |
821 |
1.75 |
31.7 |
| Total: |
2,183 |
4.35 |
209.6 |
| Indicated |
| A2 LG |
700 |
0.79 |
12.2 |
| A2 HG |
56 |
9.92 |
12.3 |
| A3 LG |
815 |
1.26 |
22.7 |
| Total: |
1,572 |
1.36 |
47.1 |
|
Measured and Indicated
|
| A2 LG |
1,620 |
0.79 |
28.1 |
| A2 HG |
497 |
15.9 |
174.2 |
| A3 LG |
1,637 |
1.51 |
54.4 |
| Total: |
3,754 |
3.1 |
256.7 |
| Inferred |
| A1 LG |
1,557 |
0.69 |
23.7 |
| A2 LG |
863 |
0.61 |
11.5 |
| A2 HG |
3 |
10.95 |
0.6 |
| A3 LG |
1,207 |
1.12 |
29.8 |
| A4 LG |
769 |
0.89 |
15.0 |
| Total: |
4,399 |
0.83 |
80.7 |
-
CIM Definition Standards were followed for Mineral Resources, Mineral
Resources are reported inclusive of Mineral Reserves.
-
Mineral Resources are reported at a cut-off grade of 0.25%
U3O8 based on a long-term price of US$50 per lb
U3O8 and estimated costs.
- A minimum mining width of 1.0 m was used
-
The effective date of Mineral Resources is June 19th, 2019
- Numbers may not add due to rounding.
-
Mineral Resources that are not Mineral Reserves do not have demonstrated
economics.
RPA is not aware of any environmental, permitting, legal, title, taxation,
socio-economic, marketing, political, or other relevant factors that could
materially affect the Mineral Resource Estimate.
Arrow Mineral Resource Estimate, Table 3:
-
CIM definitions were followed for Mineral Reserves.
-
Mineral Reserves are reported with an effective date of January
21st, 2021.
-
Mineral Reserves include transverse and longitudinal stopes, ore
development, marginal ore, special waste and a nominal amount of waste
required for mill ramp-up and grade control.
-
Stopes were estimated at a cut-off grade of 0.30%
U3O8.
-
Marginal ore is material between 0.26% U3O8 and
0.30% U3O8 that must be extracted to access
mining areas.
-
Special waste in material between 0.03% and 0.26% U3O8
that must be extracted to access mining areas. 0.03%
U3O8 is the limit for what is considered benign
waste and material that must be treated and stockpiled in an
engineered facility.
-
Mineral Reserves are estimated using a long-term metal price of US$50
per pound U3O8, and a 0.75 US$/C$ exchange rate
(C$1.00 = US$0.75). The cost to ship the yellow cake product to
a refinery is considered to be included in the metal price.
-
A minimum mining width of 3.0 m was applied for all long hole
stopes.
-
Mineral Reserves are estimated using a combined underground mining
recovery of 95.5% and total dilution (planned and unplanned) of
33.8%.
-
The density varies according to the U3O8 grade
in the block model. Waste density is 2.464
t/m3.
-
Numbers may not add due to rounding.
Stantec is not aware of any environmental, permitting, legal, title,
taxation, socio-economic, marketing, political, or other relevant factors
that could materially affect the Mineral Reserve Estimate.
Mine Plan and Production Profile:
A detailed mine plan based on conventional long-hole stope mining was
engineered using Mineral Reserves only.
During the development of the Feasibility Study, geotechnical studies
conducted again supported the conventional long hole stoping mining
method, including the use of longitudinal and transverse stopes, 30m level
spacing, and the nominal stop strike length of 12 metres to 24 metres.
Figure 1 – Cross Section View of FS Mine Design (Looking
Northeast)
Figure 2 – Arrow Deposit Production Profile
Figure 3 – Rook I Feasibility Site Layout